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    BHP Jansen learnings: cost and schedule risk notes for potash project teams

    December 1, 2025|

    Reviewed by Joe Ashwell

    BHP Jansen learnings: cost and schedule risk notes for potash project teams

    First reported on MINING.com

    30 Second Briefing

    BHP’s Americas president Rag Udd says construction “learnings” from the C$14 billion Jansen Stage 1 potash project in Saskatchewan will be critical to containing costs and schedule risk on the planned Stage 2 expansion. He points to early contractor engagement, modular shaft and headframe construction, and tighter interface management between underground development and surface processing as key process changes. For engineers, BHP’s approach signals closer scrutiny of geotechnical risk, labour productivity and materials logistics before committing further capital to large-scale potash infrastructure.

    Technical Brief

    • Underground development interfaces with a large surface processing plant, increasing coordination and SIMOPS safety risk.
    • Saskatchewan’s deep potash seams and weak evaporites demand rigorous ground control and shaft lining design.
    • Harsh winter conditions in Saskatchewan impose cold-weather construction procedures and worker exposure controls.
    • BHP is positioning Jansen as a long-life, multi-stage district asset, amplifying cumulative safety and reliability requirements.
    • For other large potash basins, Jansen’s interface and SIMOPS management approach is likely to be closely scrutinised.

    Our Take

    Potash appears in only a handful of keyword‑matched pieces in our database, but several, including the recent Wynyard and Karnalyte studies in Saskatchewan, emphasise very long mine lives, so BHP’s ability to control Jansen costs will be critical to staying competitive over multi‑decade horizons.

    With BHP simultaneously pursuing large corporate moves around Anglo and Teck, Jansen’s potash performance will likely be scrutinised internally as a proof point that organic project execution can deliver value comparable to big‑ticket M&A.

    Given the UK High Court’s recent finding against BHP Group over the Fundão tailings failure, any ‘learnings’ at Jansen that demonstrably improve safety and risk management will carry added weight with regulators and investors beyond the potash sector.

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    Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.

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