Australia relying on luck: policy and project lessons for mining engineers
Reviewed by Tom Sullivan

First reported on MINING.com
30 Second Briefing
Australia’s mining veteran Jake Klein warns the country is “relying on luck rather than good strategy”, citing Lynas Rare Earths’ decision to build its main processing plant in Malaysia after a 10-year tax holiday and gas-to-site offer, while Australian governments provided no comparable support. He argues Australia forfeited early leadership in rare earths, with Mt Weld ore still shipped offshore and key processing IP now based in Malaysia, and notes Lynas’ newer cracking plant in Kalgoorlie is hampered by unreliable power. Klein links short three‑year federal election cycles, shrinking university mining programmes and high labour and power costs to declining competitiveness, urging long-term policy, investment in mining education and technology, and aggressive adoption of AI under the new National AI Plan to lift productivity.
Technical Brief
- Malaysia’s incentives to Lynas included a 10‑year tax holiday plus gas supply and infrastructure to site.
- Mt Weld ore is currently transported from Western Australia to Malaysia for downstream rare earths processing.
- Klein states that the core rare earths processing intellectual property now resides in Malaysia, not Australia.
- Lynas’ Kalgoorlie cracking facility has experienced operational disruptions attributed specifically to unreliable power supply.
- Klein links Australia’s current resource wealth directly to 1990s structural reforms and China’s iron ore and coal demand.
Our Take
In our database of 149 Mining stories, Australia-focused critical minerals coverage is dominated by Western Australia iron ore and lithium, so the emphasis here on rare earths and antimony highlights how policy uncertainty is biting hardest in smaller, non-bulk commodities.
The reference to Lynas Rare Earths and the Mt Weld mine underlines that Australia’s main rare earths value capture is still at the resource end; most other rare earths pieces in our coverage involve downstream processing or recycling initiatives in the United States and Asia rather than in Australia.
Larvotto’s Hillgrove antimony-gold project fits a pattern seen across our critical minerals items where technically viable projects in Australia struggle to align multi-decade mine lives with a three-year federal election cycle, increasing reliance on offshore incentives and offtake security to reach sanction.
Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.
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