Geomechanics.io

  • Free Tools
Sign UpLog In

Geomechanics.io

Geomechanics, Streamlined.

© 2026 Geomechanics.io. All rights reserved.

Geomechanics.io

CMRR-ioGEODB-ioHYDROGEO-ioQCDB-ioFree Tools & CalculatorsBlogLatest Industry News

Industries

MiningConstructionTunnelling

Company

Terms of UsePrivacy PolicyLinkedIn
    Projects

    Silver price’s steepest fall since 2021: planning signals for mine projects

    December 30, 2025|

    Reviewed by Tom Sullivan

    Silver price’s steepest fall since 2021: planning signals for mine projects

    First reported on MINING.com

    30 Second Briefing

    Silver plunged nearly 10% from a record $83.63/oz to the low $70s on Monday, its steepest intraday fall since 2021, after a month-long 40% surge driven by Chinese investment demand and Shanghai spot premiums exceeding $8/oz over London. Despite the pullback, silver is still up 148% in 2025 and briefly reached a market capitalisation above Nvidia’s $4.55 trillion, with its 14-day RSI easing to about 67 after three weeks above the overbought 70 threshold. Gold also retreated more than 4.5% from a record $4,543.51/oz, though it remains up nearly 75% year to date.

    Technical Brief

    • Shanghai spot silver traded at record premiums above $8/oz relative to London.
    • Chinese silver fund premium exceeded 60% over its underlying Shanghai Futures Exchange silver contracts.
    • London vault inventories have rebuilt since the October squeeze, but significant available stocks now sit in New York.
    • Silver’s 14‑day RSI cooled to ~67 after more than three weeks above the 70 overbought threshold.
    • Earlier Chinese fund warning flagged risk of “heavy losses” if the silver bull phase reverses abruptly.
    • KCM Trade’s Tim Waterer projects $90–$100/oz silver next year if supply shortfalls persist.

    Our Take

    With silver up 148% year-to-date and forecasts in this piece pointing to $90–$100/oz next year, higher-cost primary silver projects in our database that were marginal at sub-$30 pricing could now model robust economics even after stress-testing for a sharp pullback.

    The more than $8/oz premium for silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange over London suggests China is currently setting the marginal price, which has implications for project developers in the USA and elsewhere who may increasingly benchmark offtake strategies to Asian rather than London pricing.

    Iron ore’s intraday move to about $106.55/t in Singapore, alongside the volatility in silver and gold, underlines that bulk and precious commodities are diverging in price drivers in our recent coverage, with iron ore still tracking Chinese steel demand while silver is trading more like a leveraged financial asset.

    Geotechnical Software for Modern Teams

    Centralise site data, logs, and lab results with GEODB-io, CMRR-io, and HYDROGEO-io.

    No credit card required.

    • Save and export unlimited calculations
    • Advanced data visualisation
    • Generate professional PDF reports
    • Cloud storage for all your projects

    Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.

    Related Articles

    Scope Systems cyber attack: resilience and risk lessons for mining IT teams
    Mining
    about 21 hours ago

    Scope Systems cyber attack: resilience and risk lessons for mining IT teams

    A ransomware attack on Perth-based Scope Systems’ Pronto Xi ERP cloud stack disrupted dozens of mining customers, including Northern Star Resources and Evolution Mining, in what MM‑ISAC’s Rob Labbe calls the broadest single third‑party cyber event the sector has seen. Scope says client servers were restored from backups and not directly accessed, but admits internal data was exfiltrated and has not disclosed the attack vector, raising questions about visibility at hypervisor, storage and backup layers. The incident spotlights how multi‑tenant vCenter/ESXi environments, VM cloning and snapshot abuse—already used by groups like Akira—could expose integrated exploration, production and maintenance data across more than 400 Pronto Xi‑reliant mining operations.

    Newmont’s Red Chris underground expansion: block cave design and capex notes for engineers
    Mining
    about 21 hours ago

    Newmont’s Red Chris underground expansion: block cave design and capex notes for engineers

    Newmont’s Red Chris mine in British Columbia has secured an amended Environmental Assessment Certificate and Mines Act permit, allowing a shift from open-pit to underground block caving and extending operations into the mid-2040s. The copper-gold porphyry deposit in the Golden Triangle hosts an estimated 20 million oz of gold and 13 billion lb of copper, with the block cave expected to lift Canada’s copper output by about 15%. The project entails several billion dollars in capital, around 1,800 construction jobs and roughly 1,500 operating roles at peak.

    Goldman cuts gold price forecast to US$4,900: planning notes for mine projects
    Mining
    about 21 hours ago

    Goldman cuts gold price forecast to US$4,900: planning notes for mine projects

    Goldman Sachs has cut its end‑2026 gold price forecast by US$500/oz to US$4,900/oz after the US Federal Reserve, under new chair Kevin Warsh, signalled a hawkish shift that has pushed market-implied December rate hike odds to 87%. Spot gold has already fallen to about US$4,100/oz, down 27% from its near‑US$5,600/oz January peak, with three consecutive monthly losses between March and May and a 4% year‑to‑date decline. Goldman warns a 2026 year‑end target as low as US$4,400/oz is possible if rates rise, partly offset by ongoing central‑bank buying of roughly 50 tonnes/month this year and 40 tonnes/month next year.

    Related Industries & Products

    Mining

    Geotechnical software solutions for mining operations including CMRR analysis, hydrogeological testing, and data management.

    CMRR-io

    Streamline coal mine roof stability assessments with our cloud-based CMRR software featuring automated calculations, multi-scenario analysis, and collaborative workflows.

    HYDROGEO-io

    Comprehensive hydrogeological testing platform for managing, analysing, and reporting on packer tests, lugeon values, and hydraulic conductivity assessments.

    GEODB-io

    Centralised geotechnical data management solution for storing, accessing, and analysing all your site investigation and material testing data.

    AllGeotechnicalMiningInfrastructureMaterialsHazardsEnvironmentalSoftwarePolicy