Geomechanics.io

  • Free Tools
Sign UpLog In

Geomechanics.io

Geomechanics, Streamlined.

© 2026 Geomechanics.io. All rights reserved.

Geomechanics.io

CMRR-ioGEODB-ioHYDROGEO-ioQCDB-ioFree Tools & CalculatorsBlogLatest Industry News

Industries

MiningConstructionTunnelling

Company

Terms of UsePrivacy PolicyLinkedIn
    AllGeotechnicalMiningInfrastructureMaterialsHazardsEnvironmentalSoftwarePolicy
    Projects

    Rio Tinto–Glencore ASX coal spin-off: portfolio and risk takeaways for mine teams

    January 15, 2026|

    Reviewed by Joe Ashwell

    Rio Tinto–Glencore ASX coal spin-off: portfolio and risk takeaways for mine teams

    First reported on MINING.com

    30 Second Briefing

    Rio Tinto and Glencore are weighing a spin-off of Glencore’s coal assets into a separate ASX-listed vehicle, similar to BHP’s South32 demerger, as part of early-stage merger talks that must yield a proposal by 5 February under UK takeover rules. Glencore’s coal operations in New South Wales, Queensland, central Africa and Latin America generate about 8% of a combined group’s US$45.6 billion EBITDA, while its trading arm contributes roughly 9% and remains structurally contentious. The merger would create the world’s largest miner and the leading copper producer at around 7% of global output, intensifying antitrust, coal-mandate and high-risk jurisdiction scrutiny.

    Technical Brief

    • Glencore currently runs 13 coal mines across New South Wales and Queensland, underpinning any ASX coal vehicle.
    • Banking advisory teams are already mandated to structure valuation, premium and governance for the proposed combination.
    • A coal carve‑out is explicitly benchmarked against BHP’s South32 demerger model from a decade earlier.
    • Alternative structures under discussion include a pre‑merger Glencore coal spin‑off or a copper‑only acquisition by Rio.
    • Copper spot prices above US$13,000/t materially strengthen the economic case for consolidating copper portfolios.
    • S&P projects up to 10 Mt/a copper supply deficit by 2040, with demand potentially 50% higher.

    Our Take

    In our database of 628 Mining stories, Rio Tinto increasingly appears in copper and iron ore growth pieces (such as the Nuton copper offtake with Amazon Web Services and the Pilbara iron ore MoUs with BHP), so a coal spin-off would align its listed profile more tightly with those future-facing commodities rather than legacy thermal coal exposure in Australia.

    Glencore’s 13 coal mines in New South Wales and Queensland currently contribute only 8% of combined group EBITDA, which suggests an ASX coal vehicle could be valued more on cash-yield and mine-life optionality than on group-level growth metrics that are increasingly driven by copper and trading earnings (9% of the total).

    With S&P’s ‘Copper in the Age of AI’ projections in this piece pointing to a 50% rise in copper demand and a 10 Mt/y deficit by 2040, any Rio Tinto–Glencore portfolio reshaping away from coal strengthens their ability to argue for capital reallocation into copper, where the combined group already accounts for about 7% of global output in our coverage set.

    Geotechnical Software for Modern Teams

    Centralise site data, logs, and lab results with GEODB-io, CMRR-io, and HYDROGEO-io.

    No credit card required.

    • Save and export unlimited calculations
    • Advanced data visualisation
    • Generate professional PDF reports
    • Cloud storage for all your projects

    Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.

    Related Articles

    Magmatic’s Myall diamond drilling: design and resource implications for mine planners
    Mining
    about 3 hours ago

    Magmatic’s Myall diamond drilling: design and resource implications for mine planners

    Exploration activity across Australia’s resources sector this week includes Magmatic Resources commencing diamond drilling at its Myall copper–gold project in New South Wales, targeting deeper porphyry-style mineralisation beneath previous RC intercepts. Parallel campaigns involve new drill programmes and project development steps at multiple sites, signalling continued spend on brownfield extensions and greenfield targets despite cost pressures. Geotechs and mine planners should watch for updated resource models and potential shifts in pit-shells or underground designs as deeper porphyry and structurally controlled zones are tested.

    Golden Pole high-grade boosts Waihi: design and scheduling notes for mine planners
    Mining
    about 3 hours ago

    Golden Pole high-grade boosts Waihi: design and scheduling notes for mine planners

    High-grade gold intercepts from Ora Banda Mining’s Golden Pole deposit are boosting the underground potential of the Waihi project near Kalgoorlie, with targeted follow-up drilling extending mineralisation along strike and at depth. The company is focusing on narrow, high-grade lodes accessible from existing underground development, aiming to convert recent hits into JORC-compliant resources and near-term ore feed for the Davyhurst processing plant. For geotechs and mine planners, the results point to deeper stoping fronts, tighter ground control requirements and potential schedule changes for underground access development.

    Austral–Glencore Lady Loretta copper deal: planning and geotechnical notes for mines
    Mining
    about 4 hours ago

    Austral–Glencore Lady Loretta copper deal: planning and geotechnical notes for mines

    Austral Resources has agreed to acquire Glencore AG’s Lady Loretta underground copper mine in north-west Queensland, adding a high-grade sulphide operation to its existing heap leach–SX/EW oxide business at Anthill. The Lady Loretta asset, previously a major zinc–lead–silver producer near Mount Isa, includes established underground workings, a decline, ventilation infrastructure and a permitted mining lease, giving Austral a second ore source within trucking distance of regional concentrators. The deal signals a shift towards a mixed oxide–sulphide portfolio, with implications for new concentrator offtake, mine planning and geotechnical management of deeper stopes.

    Related Industries & Products

    Mining

    Geotechnical software solutions for mining operations including CMRR analysis, hydrogeological testing, and data management.

    CMRR-io

    Streamline coal mine roof stability assessments with our cloud-based CMRR software featuring automated calculations, multi-scenario analysis, and collaborative workflows.

    HYDROGEO-io

    Comprehensive hydrogeological testing platform for managing, analysing, and reporting on packer tests, lugeon values, and hydraulic conductivity assessments.

    GEODB-io

    Centralised geotechnical data management solution for storing, accessing, and analysing all your site investigation and material testing data.