Gold price tops $4,500 in New York: valuation notes for mine project teams
Reviewed by Joe Ashwell

First reported on MINING.com
30 Second Briefing
Gold futures in New York briefly hit $4,502.70/oz on Wednesday, a two‑month high, as US CPI came in at 0.1% m/m and 3.4% y/y and core inflation slowed to 2.5%, trimming near‑term Fed hike odds and pulling two‑year Treasury yields down to 4.18%. Spot gold traded around $4,422/oz, with Ole Hansen of Saxo Bank flagging $4,200 as key support and the 200‑day moving average just below $4,500 as major resistance, while Comex September silver touched $66.98/oz and CME prepared 24/7 trading for 100‑oz silver futures. Gold and silver miners have rallied sharply, with Eldorado Gold up 33% month‑to‑date, Equinox Gold 29%, and Newmont 26%, versus a 9% move in bullion and SPDR Gold Shares.
Technical Brief
- Comex December gold traded intraday at $4,473/oz after touching $4,502.70, its highest since mid‑June.
- Spot gold peaked at $4,438.20/oz and was $4,422.34/oz at 11 a.m. New York time.
- Central bank accumulation, led by China, is cited as a key driver of bullion support.
- Spot silver reached $66.25/oz, while Comex September silver hit $66.98/oz before easing to $65.54/oz.
- CME plans 24/7 trading for 100‑oz silver futures from September, pending regulatory approval.
- Continuous trading for 1‑oz gold futures was already introduced by CME on 24 July for retail access.
- Barrick’s softer 11% monthly gain follows a $1.95 billion Fourmile settlement payment to Newmont.
Our Take
With gold now above $4,500/oz in New York, this move effectively re‑tests the early‑January highs flagged in our 7 January 2026 gold-price coverage, reinforcing the idea that macro events and US policy expectations are keeping bullion in a structurally elevated trading band rather than a one‑off spike.
The strong month‑to‑date equity gains for producers such as Newmont, Agnico Eagle and Eldorado Gold versus the 9% move in SPDR Gold Shares suggest equity beta to bullion is high again, which typically improves financing conditions for new gold projects in our Mining–Projects universe.
Silver’s current futures and spot levels, combined with the 13% gain since end‑July, line up with the pattern seen in our January 2026 silver piece where structural deficits drove outsized silver moves relative to gold, signalling that primary silver and silver‑by‑product producers like Pan American Silver and Fresnillo could see disproportionate cash flow leverage if these prices persist.
Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.
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