Global competition for energy, metals and agricultural inputs is shifting commodity markets from demand-led growth to supply-constrained “resource security”, with Ninety One warning that access to raw materials may now rival access to capital. Proposed US data-centre projects alone could require about 200 GW of power, while global oil inventories are down roughly one billion barrels since the Middle East conflict began and US Gulf Coast 3-2-1 cracks have widened to about $45/bbl from ~$20. For miners and materials users, this means structurally higher diesel, fertiliser and metal input risk, even as copper prices look “risky” short term and central banks keep buying gold at historically high levels.

Mines are getting about 40 metres deeper each year and new projects can take up to 20 years to permit, prompting former Anglo American CEO Mark Cutifani to warn at IMARC Sydney that miners risk being taken over by outsiders if they do not accelerate innovation to access deeper, more complex orebodies. Cutifani, whose FutureSmart Mining push at Anglo helped deliver 22% average annual shareholder returns over nine years, argues fewer than 30% of projects run at full potential and that long-term technology and infrastructure planning is being neglected. His warning comes as he joins Northern Star Resources’ board, with the company advancing the 13.2Moz Hemi gold project and expanding KCGM amid pressure from Elliott Investment Management and interest from Gold Fields.

Uranium mining equities fell sharply in September, with the VettaFi Global Uranium Mining Index down 16% and the Nasdaq Sprott Junior Uranium Miners Index off 22%, even as TradeTech’s long-term price indicator held near an 18‑year high at US$97/lb and BMI forecasts an average US$95/lb spot price in 2027. Supply risks centre on Kazakhstan’s in‑situ leach operations, where Kazatomprom’s sulphuric acid plant commissioning has slipped to 3Q 2027–1Q 2028, and on Western project execution, including NexGen’s Rook I (first ore targeted 3Q 2030) and Anfield’s Shootaring Canyon mill restart (mid‑2028). Cameco’s 3Q EBITDA of C$267 million came in 44% below BMO’s forecast, with attributable production 19% under expectations and cost-of-sales guidance raised to C$67–70/lb, reinforcing investor focus on cost inflation and operational reliability.