Geomechanics.io

  • Free Tools
Sign UpLog In

Geomechanics.io

Geomechanics, Streamlined.

© 2026 Geomechanics.io. All rights reserved.

Geomechanics.io

CMRR-ioGEODB-ioHYDROGEO-ioQCDB-ioFree Tools & CalculatorsBlogLatest Industry News

Industries

MiningConstructionTunnelling

Company

Terms of UsePrivacy PolicyLinkedIn
    Projects

    India’s ‘unusual move’ on gold buying: macro and project risk notes for engineers

    May 11, 2026|

    Reviewed by Tom Sullivan

    India’s ‘unusual move’ on gold buying: macro and project risk notes for engineers

    First reported on MINING.com

    30 Second Briefing

    India’s government is urging citizens to halt gold jewellery purchases for 12 months to protect foreign-exchange reserves as Middle East conflict-driven oil prices widen the trade deficit and pressure the rupee. Jewellery demand reached about 440 tonnes in 2025, with a further 280 tonnes in bars and coins, and gold already makes up roughly 17% of India’s FX reserves, so even partial compliance could soften physical premiums, lift London vault inventories and marginally cap global prices. Enforcement is unclear, with past curbs pushing buying into recycling and smuggling rather than cutting total consumption.

    Technical Brief

    • Jewellery consumption of 440 tonnes in 2025 equated to roughly one‑third of global jewellery demand.
    • Bar and coin purchases added another 280 tonnes of Indian demand on top of jewellery volumes.
    • Gold already constitutes about 17% of India’s foreign‑exchange reserves, according to Wall Street Journal data.
    • BMO analysts link Modi’s appeal to recent administrative delays in granting gold import licences to Indian banks.
    • BMO also reports rising London vault inventories, tied to weaker Indian imports, higher US exports and some central‑bank selling.
    • Shares of major listed Indian jewellery retailers dropped sharply on the announcement, signalling expectations of lower near‑term sales.
    • Historically, prior Indian import curbs have diverted demand into recycling and smuggling rather than reducing total consumption.
    • With India acting as a price‑sensitive physical buyer, its policy‑driven withdrawal removes a key stabilising demand response to price dips.

    Our Take

    With India’s jewellery and bar/coin demand together accounting for well over 700 tonnes in 2025, any policy move to curb gold buying materially affects physical offtake in a market that our database shows has already been whipsawed by price spikes above $5,200/oz and sharp margin-call selloffs this year.

    BMO Capital Markets, cited here, has recently highlighted how $100+/bbl oil can lift gold cash costs; India’s simultaneous exposure to oil and gold in its external accounts means Iran-related oil price shocks tighten the same forex channel that finances bullion imports.

    Gold already makes up 17% of India’s FX reserves, and in our coverage that is at the upper end among large emerging markets, which suggests the authorities have less room to lean on additional bullion accumulation as a buffer when oil-linked outflows rise.

    Geotechnical Software for Modern Teams

    Centralise site data, logs, and lab results with GEODB-io, CMRR-io, and HYDROGEO-io.

    No credit card required.

    • Save and export unlimited calculations
    • Advanced data visualisation
    • Generate professional PDF reports
    • Cloud storage for all your projects

    Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.

    Related Articles

    Trump’s $18.6B critical minerals push: rare earths bias and gaps for project teams
    Policy
    about 10 hours ago

    Trump’s $18.6B critical minerals push: rare earths bias and gaps for project teams

    US federal critical minerals support under the Trump administration has reached about $18.6 billion across 60 financings, with roughly $15.9 billion in loans, $2.1 billion in equity and $615 million in grants, but BMO Global Commodities Research says the allocation is heavily skewed to rare earths despite their modest $3.5 billion global market. Major rare earth packages include a $565 million DFC facility for Brazil’s Serra Verde, USA Rare Earth’s planned $2.8 billion acquisition of the asset, and a $400 million US DoD stake in MP Materials. By contrast, tungsten projects such as Fireweed Metals’ Mactung and Northcliff Resources’ Sisson have received only about $15–16 million each, with antimony, nickel, cobalt, tantalum and tin seeing minimal support, signalling continued funding gaps for non-REE critical metals.

    HSE warns against dry cutting: control and compliance takeaways for engineers
    Policy
    about 13 hours ago

    HSE warns against dry cutting: control and compliance takeaways for engineers

    HSE has banned dry cutting of engineered stone in the UK and ordered a shift towards lower-silica materials after two worker deaths from silicosis in the sector. The guidance requires wet cutting or on-tool extraction with high-efficiency local exhaust ventilation for any remaining high-silica products, bringing practice closer to controls already used on tunnelling and concrete cutting. Fabricators and contractors now face mandatory process changes, material substitution reviews, and likely revisions to COSHH risk assessments and respiratory protection programmes.

    Cenovus chief on Canada’s oil competitiveness: project and capex signals for engineers
    Policy
    4 days ago

    Cenovus chief on Canada’s oil competitiveness: project and capex signals for engineers

    Cenovus Energy CEO Jon McKenzie warns Canada is becoming uncompetitive for oil sands investment, citing lengthy approvals, higher operating costs and a proposed C$130/t industrial carbon tax that he says is unique globally and pushes capital to the US and Middle East. He notes only one new greenfield oil sands project has been approved and built since 2013 despite persistent global oil demand, arguing policy must support “filling a pipeline” with new developments. The warning comes as Cenovus posts Q1 net earnings of C$1.57 billion and record upstream output of 972,000 boe/d after acquiring MEG Energy.

    Related Industries & Products

    Mining

    Geotechnical software solutions for mining operations including CMRR analysis, hydrogeological testing, and data management.

    CMRR-io

    Streamline coal mine roof stability assessments with our cloud-based CMRR software featuring automated calculations, multi-scenario analysis, and collaborative workflows.

    HYDROGEO-io

    Comprehensive hydrogeological testing platform for managing, analysing, and reporting on packer tests, lugeon values, and hydraulic conductivity assessments.

    GEODB-io

    Centralised geotechnical data management solution for storing, accessing, and analysing all your site investigation and material testing data.

    AllGeotechnicalInfrastructureHazardsEnvironmental