Gold price retreats from three‑month high: risk notes for mine planners
Reviewed by Joe Ashwell

First reported on MINING.com
30 Second Briefing
Gold retreated from a three-month high after July US PCE inflation printed at 3.7% headline and 3.3% core, with Comex December futures down 1% to $4,649.10/oz and spot off 1.4% at $4,592.53 by late morning in New York. The pullback follows a 14% August surge in bullion, driven by US Treasury bond-market intervention and a 28-tonne weekly inflow into gold-backed ETFs, ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair. Gold and silver miners still post outsized August gains, with Eldorado up 55%, Equinox 53% and Newmont 41%.
Technical Brief
- Comex December gold retreated from an overnight intraday high of $4,730.90/oz before midday New York.
- Tuesday’s settlement was the strongest Comex December close since mid‑May, marking a three‑month peak.
- Spot bullion remains above its 200‑day moving average, signalling a technically important trend break higher.
- Comex September silver traded at $67.96/oz, with spot at $68.03/oz, both easing intraday.
- Silver’s 18% August gain has cut its year‑to‑date 2026 loss to under 5%.
- Headline US PCE inflation printed 3.7% year‑on‑year in July, 0.1 percentage points above consensus.
- Core PCE held at 3.3% year‑on‑year, while goods consumption weakened, pointing to softer discretionary demand.
- Bullion‑backed ETFs absorbed more than 28 tonnes in a week, the largest weekly inflow since January.
- Gold miners’ equities vastly outpaced metal moves: Eldorado +55%, Equinox +53%, AngloGold +49%, Newmont +41% in August.
- TD Securities flagged elevated energy prices and persistent inflation as constraints on a near‑term move to record highs.
Our Take
The sharp outperformance of producers such as Eldorado Gold, Equinox and Newmont versus the underlying gold and silver moves since end-July suggests strong operating and financial leverage to current price levels, which can materially improve debt metrics and funding options for project pipelines if prices hold.
TD Securities and Bloomberg appear repeatedly in recent gold and silver market pieces in our coverage, indicating that the pricing and inflation narratives shaping today’s bullion-backed ETF inflows are also informing sentiment around new project financing and M&A screens for names like Agnico Eagle and AngloGold.
Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.
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