Trustless gold as a treasury asset: Phair’s key signals for mining projects
Reviewed by Joe Ashwell

First reported on MINING.com
30 Second Briefing
Gold is increasingly being treated as a “trustless” treasury asset, with Scottsdale Mint CEO Josh Phair noting that well‑heeled investors and even corporates are putting bullion on balance sheets and borrowing against it, while central banks such as China have bought for 22 consecutive months and Poland is targeting gold holdings in the upper 30% range by year-end. Phair points to rising intraday volatility in gold and silver prices, moving “in an hour” rather than over decades. He also flags refining capacity as mining’s main bottleneck, with 10–20 year US permitting and reclamation bonding timelines pushing new projects towards higher‑risk jurisdictions in South America and Africa.
Technical Brief
- Refining capacity is identified as mining’s primary bottleneck, constraining throughput more than upstream extraction.
- Phair characterises the sector as underfunded, underdeveloped and underexplored for over 20 years.
- In the United States, mine permitting plus reclamation bonding can extend lead times to 10–20 years.
- Regulatory difficulty in the US is described as administration‑dependent, adding political cyclicality to project approvals.
- Long, uncertain permitting windows are pushing new mine development towards South America and Africa despite higher geopolitical risk.
Our Take
The emphasis on central banks in China and Poland lifting gold allocations aligns with other recent gold coverage where price volatility has not stopped reserve-builders, suggesting physical offtake from official sectors may remain a structural demand pillar even through sharp price drawdowns.
The note that mining has been underfunded and underexplored for over 20 years dovetails with our database’s copper and critical minerals pieces, where long permitting windows of 10–20 years are already constraining new supply, implying similar bottlenecks could emerge for new primary gold and silver projects.
With this article tagged to ‘Projects’ but naming no specific mines, the focus on trustless assets like gold and silver is more about macro allocation than project pipelines, in contrast to other MINING.COM items that track individual copper or rare earth operations moving above $1 billion in annual revenues.
Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.
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