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    Canada gold output jumps 22%: project pipeline and cost signals for mine planners

    November 4, 2026|

    Reviewed by Joe Ashwell

    Canada gold output jumps 22%: project pipeline and cost signals for mine planners

    First reported on MINING.com

    30 Second Briefing

    Canada’s gold mine output surged 22% in Q3, driven by new operations such as Equinox Gold’s Valentine mine in Newfoundland and Labrador and B2Gold’s Goose mine in Nunavut, while global mine production rose only 3% to a record 1,071 tonnes. Despite this, total global supply slipped 1% to 1,369 tonnes as recycled gold fell 8% to about 314 tonnes and producer hedge books shrank for an eleventh consecutive quarter. All-in sustaining costs hit a record C$2,698/oz in Q2 and are forecast by BMO to push average all-in costs to US$2,298/oz this year, even as bullion averaged about C$4,262/oz in Q3.

    Technical Brief

    • Indonesian mine output rose 21%, driven by higher grades at Batu Hijau, Pani Gold start-up and Grasberg recovery.
    • Chile’s 19% production increase was supported by Salares Norte ramp-up and the new Fenix operation.
    • Australia’s gold output fell 12%, with lower grades and sequencing issues at Cadia among key constraints.
    • United States production dropped 7%, impacted by mine plan sequencing at Nevada Gold Mines and Round Mountain.
    • Global mine production for the first nine months was 2% higher year-on-year, tracking towards a record annual total.
    • Industry all-in sustaining costs hit C$2,698/oz in Q2, a 22% year-on-year increase, mainly from energy, consumables and sustaining capex.

    Our Take

    Equinox Gold’s aggressive build‑out at the Valentine mine in Newfoundland and Labrador, including the recently approved Phase 2 expansion in our coverage, helps explain why Canada’s gold output is outpacing the modest 2–3% global mine production growth indicated by the World Gold Council data.

    With all‑in sustaining costs reported up 22% year‑on‑year while the average bullion price is up 23%, operators such as Equinox Gold and B2Gold are likely seeing only marginal real margin expansion, which tends to favour larger, lower‑cost systems like Grasberg and Cadia over higher‑cost single‑asset producers.

    The strong central bank buying profile (321 tonnes in Q3, with 63% estimated as unreported) combined with renewed ETF inflows contrasts with the coal‑linked logistics issues flagged around Transnet’s North‑East corridor in other pieces, signalling that gold in regions like Canada and Indonesia is currently enjoying a much more supportive demand backdrop than bulk commodities in South Africa or Brazil.

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    Prepared by collating external sources, AI-assisted tools, and Geomechanics.io’s proprietary mining database, then reviewed for technical accuracy & edited by our geotechnical team.

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